States & citiesRepair or replace?Methodology

Methodology & sources

The model (degree-day method)

monthly AC kWh = floor area × U × CDDmonth × 24 ÷ (SEER2 × 1000)

  • CDD (cooling degree days, base 65°F): how much and how long it's hotter than 65°F. States use the NOAA NCEI nClimDiv statewide series averaged over 1991–2020. Cities use NOAA 1991–2020 station normals.
  • U is the heat gain per ft² of floor per °F (BTU/h·°F·ft²). It's a modeling assumption that lumps insulation, windows, sun and air leaks: good 0.25, average 0.33, poor 0.45. It's calibrated so a 2,000 ft² Phoenix home lands in a plausible range. We'll refine it against published consumption data.
  • SEER2 converts cooling load (BTU) to electricity (Wh). Real-world efficiency is often lower than the rating.
  • Cost = kWh × energy price. Fixed monthly charges are excluded because they don't change with AC use.
These are estimates for comparison and budgeting, not a bill, quote or engineering load calculation (for sizing, ask for an ACCA Manual J). Thermostat setting, shade, duct leaks and occupancy can move results ±30% or more.

Data sources

Data refreshes monthly through an automated pipeline. Alaska, Hawaii and DC aren't in the NOAA statewide series, so the calculator omits them for now.

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